The Tennessee Titans have been named an ideal analytical fit for Ole Miss quarterback Matt Corral ahead of the 2022 NFL draft.
NFL Network’s Cynthia Frelund crunched the numbers and explained why this is the case. She also compares Corral to former Arizona Cardinals and Denver Broncos quarterback, Jake Plummer.
I have created a 20-season sample, which means that Plummer’s first four seasons in the NFL weren’t originally included. However, the match percentages popped, so I added Plummer’s full career to this and BOOM(!): It’s the highest fit for this QB class. PFF shows that Corral used play-action more than any other QB in 2021 (60.4 percent) and had the most yards on such passes (2,207), while being one of just two QBs to throw for more than 2,000 yards off play-action last season. Having the foundation of the offense in play-action allowed him to strategically use deep passes, and he was the second-most accurate on deep passes by FBS QBs with at least 75 attempts in the past two seasons (48.0 percent).
TEAM FIT: Tennessee Titans
Corral is my second-most pro-ready QB prospect, but my models don’t love him starting in Year 1. This player-team pairing doesn’t throw shade Ryan Tannehill’s way, but rather respects the system of leveraging Corral’s skill set (play-action) the most. It also takes a swing at bringing in a potential QB for the future, before it’s absolutely necessary down the line. Of the current QB-needy teams, Seattle creates the highest three-season win share.
Corral is someone the Titans have done their homework on. Offensive coordinator Todd Downing was in attendance at the Ole Miss Pro Day to watch the signal-caller throw.
If the Titans want Corral they’ll likely have to spend their first-round pick on him. However, he may not even be around at No. 26 overall, so a trade up could also be necessary to land him.
